Wednesday, January 19, 2011

Why Does the Fed Fear Deflation More than Inflation

Have you noticed that the Fed Chairman seems to be far more concerned about deflation than inflation? It's reflected in his public comments and in the policies being pursued by the Fed.

In a nutshell, when deflation is caused by corrections of bad investments made during a bubble (like the sub-prime mortgage loans and their related derivatives) it is manifested by bad loans that don't get repaid. Individuals and businesses take bankruptcy or they negotiate more favorable terms. Most of the lenders are banks and they don't get repaid. Never mind that the banks made a lot of those loans with artificial money created by the Fed or the fractional reserve banking system. The banks don't like to write off their loans.

In addition, deflation has the opposite effect of inflation. Whereas inflation is caused by an increase in the money supply, deflation reduces the money supply. The effect is to make it more expensive for banks to secure money with which to make loans.

in case you may have missed it, the Fed is owned by the banks. It's completely separate from the Federal government, despite the implication caused by the name "Federal Reserve Bank".

So it makes sense that the Fed is far more concerned about preventing deflation than about preventing the kind of inflation that is caused by an increase in the money supply and by the fractional reserve banking system.

Just my two cents.

Vern

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